Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$29M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market follows the standard process for presidential nominations, requiring the candidate to both win and formally accept the nomination at the convention. The resolution source relies on a consensus of official party sources rather than a single specified link or document, but the outcome of a major party convention roll call is typically unambiguous. The rules also explicitly note that if the nominee is later replaced before the general election, the resolution will not change.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Katie Britt wins and accepts the 2028 Republican nomination for U.S. president. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the market resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Katie Britt wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No otherwise. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the market's resolution. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.