Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$36.2M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the named candidate formally winning and accepting the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. The resolution source references a consensus of official Republican Party sources rather than a single explicit document or committee roll call, introducing minor discretion, but official party nomination decisions are historically unambiguous. The rules clarify that any post-acceptance replacement prior to election day does not alter the outcome, preventing unexpected reversals after the formal convention process.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sarah Huckabee Sanders will win and accept the Republican Party nomination for U.S. president for the 2028 presidential election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution. A consensus of official Republican Party sources determines the outcome.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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