Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$16.1M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly state that resolution depends on the named individual winning and accepting the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, relying on official party sources. The conditions match the plain reading of the question, and an explicit clause notes that any replacement of the nominee after acceptance will not retroactively alter the outcome. With formal nomination procedures conducted by the Republican National Convention, the outcome criteria are direct and well-defined.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Vivek Ramaswamy wins and accepts the Republican nomination for U.S. president in 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter this outcome. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Republican Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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