Will Belgium win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Current price
1.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.85%
$11.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market has straightforward resolution terms tied directly to the official outcome of the tournament as governed by UEFA. Participants should be aware of standard early resolution mechanics: if Belgium is eliminated before the final, the market resolves to No immediately. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or not concluded by June 13, 2027, the market is designated to resolve to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Belgium will win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. It includes an explicit 'Other' resolution condition if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond the specified deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Belgium wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Belgium to win the tournament under UEFA rules, such as through elimination. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from UEFA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Tournament completion and postponement deadline: — Resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date, or if no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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