Will Greece win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Current price
2.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.25%
$12.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are straightforward and depend on the official outcome of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League as determined by UEFA. Market participants should note that the market can resolve to No early if Greece is mathematically eliminated prior to the final. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond June 13, 2027, the market will resolve to Other rather than waiting indefinitely for a champion to be crowned.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market tracks whether Greece will win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Greece to win per UEFA rules, such as through elimination. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from UEFA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if postponed after 11:59 PM ET on this date or if no winner is declared
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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