Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
0.55¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.55%
$2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define resolution based on an authoritative, single source: Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. Explicit navigation instructions and the exact ranking metric (#1 spot) are provided, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion. A clear resolution trigger upon release and a definitive deadline of March 31, 2027, with a designated fallback outcome prevent open-ended timing issues.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Zendaya is ranked #1 on Google's official Global 'People' list for 2026. While the title refers to 'this year', the underlying rules specifically track the 2026 Year in Search release.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Zendaya is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution may occur as soon as the official list is released. The outcome is determined by the official Year in Search list published by Google.
Key dates
- List release deadline: — Market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global People list
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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