Will Ja Morant be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Last captured price
1.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.05%
$430 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves directly against a specific official release: Google's Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The rules explicitly point to the Google Trends Year in Search hub and designate the top-ranked individual on that list as the winning outcome. Note that Google's Year in Search lists reflect trending search traffic rather than total absolute search volume, but the rules strictly bind resolution to this official list. A clear fallback deadline of March 31, 2027, resolves the market to Other if the list is not published.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ja Morant ranks #1 on Google's Year in Search Global People list for 2026. Resolution is notable because the rules evaluate data specifically for the 2026 calendar year and provide a fallback resolution if the list is not published.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Ja Morant is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The market resolves No if any other individual holds the #1 spot on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google fails to release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Google's published list on the Google Trends Year in Search hub determines the outcome.
Key dates
- List publication deadline: — If Google has not released the 2026 Global People list by this time, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global People list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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