Will Anthony Edwards be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$1.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the exact source and navigation path, relying on the #1 ranked individual on Google's official Year in Search Global People list for 2026. A reader looking only at the question should note that Google's annual Year in Search lists reflect trending search spikes rather than overall raw search volume across the entire year. Resolution occurs as soon as the 2026 list is published, with a clear fallback deadline resolving to Other if Google does not publish the list by March 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Anthony Edwards is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Notably, while the title refers to "this year", the resolution rules specifically bind the outcome to the 2026 rankings.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Anthony Edwards is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual is ranked #1 on this list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by the official Year in Search list published by Google, regardless of navigation procedure, and can occur as soon as the 2026 list is released.
Key dates
- List release deadline: — Market resolves to Other if Google has not released the specified 2026 list by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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