Will Angel Reese be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$1.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution relies directly on an authoritative, named source: Google's official Year in Search 2026 Global People list. The rules precisely describe where and how the list will be published and stipulate that resolution depends on the #1 ranked individual on that specific list. A clear fallback date of March 31, 2027, resolves the market to Other if the list is never published. Note that Google's Year in Search reflects the top trending queries with the highest spike in traffic rather than absolute raw search volume, but the rules leave no discretion to market deciders.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Angel Reese will rank #1 on Google's Year in Search Global "People" list. While the market title refers to "this year," the resolution rules specifically evaluate the official rankings for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Angel Reese is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The market is decided by the official list published by Google, regardless of the navigation procedure used to access it.
Key dates
- Release cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if Google has not released the 2026 list by this time.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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