Will Travis Kelce be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
1.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.15%
$1.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify an exact, official source: Google's Year in Search Global People list for 2026. Resolution relies directly on the rank-one entry published on the Google Trends hub, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion. The rules provide specific navigation instructions, allow early resolution as soon as the list is published, and include a clear backstop resolving to Other if Google does not release the list by March 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Travis Kelce is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. While the question asks about 'this year', the rules specifically track the 2026 calendar year list.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Travis Kelce is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual is ranked #1 on the list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided using the official Year in Search list published by Google on its Google Trends hub.
Key dates
- List release deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the 2026 list has not been published by this time.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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