Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
0.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$2.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify a single, authoritative resolution source: the number one spot on Google's official Global Year in Search list for People in 2026. Explicit navigation instructions and fallback criteria are provided in the event the list format shifts or Google fails to publish the list before the March 31, 2027 deadline. The decider has virtually no discretion, as resolution directly mirrors the exact ranking published by Google.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sydney Sweeney will be ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sydney Sweeney is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution may occur as soon as the 2026 list is published. The deciding source is the official list published by Google on the Google Trends Year in Search hub under Global trending people.
Key dates
- Fallback deadline: — Market resolves to Other if Google has not released the 2026 list by this time.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global 'People' list
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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