Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
0.25¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.25%
$1.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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Resolution relies on a single, well-defined official source: the top-ranked individual on Google's official Year in Search Global People list for 2026. The rules specify the exact list location and navigation pathway, allow resolution as soon as the data is published, and include a clear long-stop cutoff date of March 31, 2027 if Google fails to publish the ranking. There is virtually no room for subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy will rank first on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. Notably, while the question phrasing refers to "this year," the underlying resolution rules specify the 2026 rankings.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is ranked number one on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves No if any other individual ranks number one on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list for 2026 by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Google's published rankings on its Year in Search hub decide the outcome, and the market may resolve as soon as the 2026 list is published.
Key dates
- List release deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the 2026 list is not released by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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