Will Christian Pulisic be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Current price
1.35¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.35%
$2.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define resolution using a specific, named official source: the #1 spot on Google's official Year in Search Global People list for 2026. The URL and navigation steps are explicitly provided, removing discretion regarding source selection. Resolution happens as soon as the official list is published, with an explicit fallback resolution to Other if Google fails to release the list by March 31, 2027.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Christian Pulisic will rank #1 on Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Christian Pulisic is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if another individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution occurs as soon as the 2026 list is released, determined by the specified list published by Google.
Key dates
- Release deadline for Google Year in Search 2026 list: — If the list is not released by this time, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026 published on the Google Trends Year in Search hub
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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