Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Current price
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Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the qualifying window of January 1 to December 31, 2026, and define market capitalization precisely as total outstanding shares multiplied by the official closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution sources are prioritized to the primary exchange's official listing page, backed by the Federal Reserve H.10 reference rate for currency conversions. The rules also thoroughly account for edge cases by defining an alphabetical tie-breaker, specific procedures for abbreviated trading sessions, and conditions under which a candidate can resolve early to No if disqualified through acquisition or merger.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Databricks achieves the highest U.S. dollar market capitalization on its first trading day among all companies that complete an IPO in 2026. A tiebreaker rule awards resolution alphabetically if closing market caps are identical.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes for Databricks if it completes an IPO between January 1 and December 31, 2026, and achieves the highest market capitalization in USD based on its first trading day official closing price. Market capitalization is calculated as total outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price, converted to USD via the Federal Reserve H.10 rate if needed. If multiple companies tie for the highest market cap, the company that comes first alphabetically wins. The market resolves to No if another company achieves the highest first-day market cap in 2026, or if Databricks becomes unable to IPO (e.g., due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by a public entity). If trading is interrupted, the abbreviated session closing price is used, or the next trading day with an official close. Resolution is determined using the primary exchange's official listing page or another reliable source.
Key dates
- IPO eligibility start:
- IPO eligibility end:
Resolution source
The primary exchange's official listing page (with currency conversion via the U.S. Federal Reserve Board's H.10 foreign exchange reference rate), or another reliable/credible source
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