Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
1.2¢
−0.05¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.2%
$29.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the resolution criteria and exact source. The market resolves to Yes as soon as any Binance XRP/USDT one-minute candle registers a Low price of $0.20 or less during the specified timeframe. A direct link to the exact trading pair and chart settings is provided, and the rules explicitly state that prices from other exchanges or trading pairs will not be considered. If the price does not reach the threshold by the final cutoff time on December 31, 2026, the market resolves to No.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP (XRP/USDT) on Binance reaches $0.20 or lower between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data for that specific pair, excluding other exchanges or pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT on Binance has a final Low price of $0.20 or lower between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $0.20 or lower during that period. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or spot markets do not count. The resolution is determined strictly by the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart.
Key dates
- Start Date: — Tracking period begins at 14:30 ET.
- End Date: — Tracking period concludes at 23:59 ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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