Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
0.6¢
−1.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.6%
$2.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market relies on clear and objective criteria. Resolution is strictly determined by whether any 1-minute candle on Binance's XRP/USDT chart reaches or exceeds a final high of $8.00 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A single explicit trading pair and source URL are designated, eliminating source discretion and ambiguity. The primary detail to track is that only Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle highs are valid, meaning prices on other exchanges or different trading pairs do not trigger resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches $8.00 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's XRP/USDT trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, has a final High price equal to or above $8.00. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold within the specified timeframe. Price action prior to the market's creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered. Resolution is decided solely using Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle chart data.
Key dates
- End date: — Last day to reach the target price threshold, ending at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data
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