Will XRP reach $6.00 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
2.8¢
−0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.8%
$420.4 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide precise, unambiguous mechanics for resolution. The outcome is determined strictly by a single named source and trading pair (Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle chart) reaching or exceeding the specified price threshold ($6.00) between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Data from other exchanges or pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $6.00 by December 31, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on the 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $6.00 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action prior to market creation is not considered. The market resolves to No if the price does not reach or exceed $6.00 within this timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance 1-minute candle data for XRP/USDT; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are disregarded.
Key dates
- End date: — Cutoff at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute chart)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.