Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
1.9¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.9%
$21.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide objective and specific criteria for resolution. The outcome relies strictly on the one-minute candle low prices for the XRP/USDT pair on Binance within a clearly stated timeframe and timezone. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price touches or falls below the threshold at any point during the window, and resolves to No after the final deadline if the threshold is never reached. Because resolution depends entirely on verifiable exchange data from a single designated trading pair without room for subjective judgment, the risk of unexpected resolution is low.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP drops to $0.40 or below. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle low prices from the Binance XRP/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $0.40 between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if the price does not reach or fall below $0.40 during this period. Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT pair is the sole deciding source. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Monitoring start: — Start of the price observation window in ET.
- Monitoring end: — End of the price observation window in ET.
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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