Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
6¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6%
$23.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the resolution criteria and mechanism. The market tracks a single named exchange and pair (Binance XRP/USDT) using one-minute candle low prices within a defined timeframe in Eastern Time. Resolution occurs immediately if any candle hits or drops below the $0.60 threshold, or resolves to No at the end of the specified window if the target is never reached. Explicitly excluding other trading pairs and exchanges removes external ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP (XRP/USDT) on Binance reaches a low of $0.60 or lower by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $0.60. The market will resolve to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified window. Resolution relies solely on the XRP/USDT 1-minute chart on Binance. Prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start tracking: — Candle tracking begins at 14:30 ET
- End tracking: — Tracking concludes at 23:59 ET
Resolution source
Binance (XRP/USDT 1-minute candle chart)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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