Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
6.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.5%
$48K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. Outcome determination depends strictly on the final High price of any 1-minute candle on the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair reaching or exceeding $2.60 between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. If this threshold is hit at any point during that defined window, the market resolves immediately to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No after the deadline expires. The resolution relies entirely on a single named exchange pair and candle metric, meaning price action on other platforms or different trading pairs has no bearing on the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches or exceeds $2.60 on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges and pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT between November 24, 2025, at 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET has a final High price of $2.60 or higher. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $2.60 within this period. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Monitoring begins: — Start of the price observation window in ET.
- Monitoring ends: — End of the price observation window in ET.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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