Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?
Last captured price
5.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.85%
$18.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined with minimal ambiguity. Resolution relies on an objective, named primary source—specifically the final High price on the Binance XRP/USDT one-minute candlestick chart. The measurement window includes precise start and end timestamps with the timezone specified. The market resolves early to Yes as soon as a qualifying one-minute candle meets or exceeds the target price, and otherwise resolves to No after the window closes. Participants should only note that price action on other exchanges or different XRP trading pairs will not count toward resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of XRP reaches $2.80 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, based specifically on Binance XRP/USDT trading pair data.
How it resolves
This market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT between November 24, 2025, 14:30 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET records a final High price equal to or greater than $2.80. It resolves to Yes immediately once this condition occurs. This market resolves to No if the price does not reach or exceed $2.80 on that specific feed during the designated window. Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT pair serves as the sole decider, and price action from other exchanges or different trading pairs is disregarded.
Key dates
- Start window: — Start of the 1-minute candle price tracking window in Eastern Time.
- End window: — End of the price tracking window in Eastern Time.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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