Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 16?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules provide precise and unambiguous criteria.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules provide precise and unambiguous criteria. The outcome is determined by a single specific data point: the close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 16 directly from Binance. A direct URL and the required candle settings are clearly defined, leaving no room for decider discretion or timing uncertainty.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.05 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $84,000 at a specific minute on November 16. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than a daily average or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 16, 2026 has a final Close price strictly greater than $84,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $84,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price, and data from other exchanges or trading pairs is excluded. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·