brierpoınt
CryptoCloses · in 2 days$14K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 16? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 16?

Trade on Polymarket ↗Referral link

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly specified with virtually no room for interpretation.

Read the full assessment

The resolution criteria are clearly specified with virtually no room for interpretation. The rules define the exact exchange (Binance), trading pair (BTC/USDT), chart timeframe (1-minute candle), and precise timestamp (12:00 PM ET on November 16) used to evaluate the price. Because resolution depends strictly on an objective numeric value from a named public data feed at a specific minute, source discretion and timing ambiguity are minimal.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

88%

chance

▼ −10.9 pts · 24h

Yes88¢
No12¢
66,000 · Yes · 1MO 97.8 H 98.8 L 79.0 C 87.6−10.2 (−10.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 03:40 UTC

The market probability fell from 99% to 87% as Bitcoin dropped 4.82% over the 24-hour window, making it less likely to stay above $66,000.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 59% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −4.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 68,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 03:51 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $66,000 at a specific minute on November 16. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle rather than broader index prices or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM (noon) ET on November 16 has a final Close price strictly higher than $66,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $66,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, and price precision matches the source's decimal places.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·