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CryptoCloses · in 2 days$1.5K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 16? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 16?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution criteria. It evaluates a single metric: the final close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 16 directly on Binance. A specific URL, trading pair, timeframe, and timezone are provided, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguity. Resolution is tied to an exact, verifiable timestamp, so timing and interpretative risks are minimal.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

12%

chance

▼ −60.5 pts · 24h

Yes12¢
No88¢
72,000 · Yes · 1MO 73.5 H 84.5 L 7.0 C 12.0−61.5 (−83.7%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −61 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:55 UTC

The market fell from 75% to 15% as Bitcoin dropped 0.69% on Binance during the move hour, standing roughly 2% below the $72,000 threshold and reducing the likelihood of finishing above it.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 71% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: 74,000 (down), 68,000 (down), 76,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 04:05 UTC

Earlier

▲ +11 pts · 12 Nov 2026, 00:55 UTCThe price rose from 68% to 78% as 3 related Bitcoin target markets for November 16 repriced together over the same period.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 01:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 on November 16. It specifically relies on the 1-minute candle closing price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at noon ET, rather than other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 16 has a final Close price strictly higher than $72,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $72,000. Resolution relies solely on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data from Binance, and other exchanges or pairs are disregarded. Price precision follows the number of decimal places provided by Binance.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·