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CryptoCloses · in 2 days$1.1K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 16? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 16?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution rules.

Read the full assessment

This market has very specific and objective resolution rules. It identifies the exact resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT), the exact metric (the Close price of the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 16), and the exact threshold ($76,000). There is no subjective source discretion, no ambiguous wording, and no complex exception clauses.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

2%

chance

▼ −14.45 pts · 24h

Yes2¢
No98¢
76,000 · Yes · 1MO 40.5 H 40.5 L 0.7 C 1.6−39.0 (−96.2%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −22 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:25 UTC

The market price dropped from 27% to 7% as Bitcoin fell 0.6% on Binance during the move hour, making it less likely to hold above $76,000.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 48% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: 72,000 (up), 74,000 (up), 68,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 16:50 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:10 UTCThe price fell from 33% to 22% as Bitcoin dropped 1.59% on Binance during the hour of the move, reducing the likelihood of it remaining above $76,000, the likely driver of the decline.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Earlier

▼ −23 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 01:40 UTCThe market price fell from 40% to 23% as Bitcoin dropped 1.6% on Binance during the hour of the move, reducing the likelihood of it remaining above $76,000.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 09:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $76,000 on November 16. It specifically relies on the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle close price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 ET (noon) on November 16, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The resolution is determined exclusively by the BTC/USDT Close price on Binance, disregarding other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision matches the number of decimal places provided by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·