Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules are unambiguous and establish a clear, deterministic resolution process.
Read the full assessment
The rules are unambiguous and establish a clear, deterministic resolution process. The outcome depends entirely on a single, specific 1-minute candle close on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair at 12:00 PM ET on November 15. The exact URL, pair, timeframe, and metric are defined, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $86,000 at noon ET on November 15, 2026. Resolution depends specifically on the 1-minute candle close on Binance rather than other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 15, 2026, has a final Close price higher than $86,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or lower than $86,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price, using the source's decimal precision, and disregards prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·