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CryptoCloses · in 1 day$7.4K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 15? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 15?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules provide precise and unambiguous mechanics for resolution.

Read the full assessment

The rules provide precise and unambiguous mechanics for resolution. The outcome depends entirely on a specific data point: the final Close price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15. The exact URL, trading pair, time zone, candle timeframe, and threshold condition are explicitly defined, leaving virtually no room for subjective discretion, timing delays, or hidden clauses.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

72%

chance

▼ −26 pts · 24h

Yes72¢
No28¢
68,000 · Yes · 1MO 96.6 H 99.0 L 54.4 C 71.8−24.8 (−25.7%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −44 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 02:40 UTC

The market price dropped from 98% to 54%. The likely driver was Bitcoin falling 1.2% in the hour and 3.9% over 24 hours on Binance, reducing the likelihood of holding above the $68,000 threshold.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 46% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −3.9% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 70,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $68,000 at a specific minute on November 15. It relies strictly on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 15 has a final Close price strictly higher than $68,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $68,000. Resolution is determined solely by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision defined by the source's decimal places. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·