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CryptoCloses · in 1 day$12.7K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 15? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 15?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria. It specifies an exact single source (the Binance BTC/USDT spot market), an exact timeframe (the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15), and the specific metric (the final Close price). There is no subjective discretion required to determine the outcome, and no unusual edge-case clauses or ambiguous terms are present.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

92%

chance

▼ −6.4 pts · 24h

Yes92¢
No8¢
66,000 · Yes · 1MO 98.0 H 99.2 L 83.0 C 92.3−5.7 (−5.8%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 04:10 UTC

The market fell from 99% to 88% as Bitcoin dropped 1.83% on Binance during the hour and fell 6.47% over the broader window, reducing the likelihood of holding above $66,000.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 61% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.8% in the move hour, −6.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 45 hours after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 68,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 04:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $66,000 at a specific minute on November 15, 2026. It relies strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance rather than an aggregate price across exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $66,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $66,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, disregarding other exchanges or trading pairs, with price precision defined by the source decimal places.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·