Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market provides very clear and specific resolution mechanics.
Read the full assessment
This market provides very clear and specific resolution mechanics. It relies on a single named source, the Binance BTC/USDT pair, and specifies the exact metric to check: the Close price of the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15. The threshold of $72,000 is straightforward and leaves no room for source discretion or timing ambiguity.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
9%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 at a specific minute on November 15. It relies strictly on a single 1-minute candle from Binance's BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 15, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $72,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or lower than $72,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data serves as the sole deciding source. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are disregarded. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·