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CryptoCloses · in 1 day$434.7 volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 15? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 15?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution rules are explicit and leave virtually no room for interpretation.

Read the full assessment

The resolution rules are explicit and leave virtually no room for interpretation. Resolution depends on a specific, named source and pair (Binance BTC/USDT) at an exact timestamp (the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15). The threshold is well-defined as strictly higher than $80,000 based on the candle's close price. Participants simply need to verify the specific candle on Binance at noon Eastern Time.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

▼ −0.25 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
80,000 · Yes · 1MO 11.5 H 12.5 L 0.3 C 0.3−11.2 (−97.0%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −14 pts24h · detected 11 Nov 2026, 09:25 UTC

The price fell from 16% to 2%, moving alongside 3 other related strike price outcomes for the event as markets repriced downward together.

  • Largest hourly change: 09:00 UTC, 81% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.3% in the move hour, −1.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: 74,000 (down), 76,000 (down), 78,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 09:35 UTC

Earlier

▲ +14 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 09:25 UTCThe price rose from 8% to 22%, moving alongside four related strike markets for the same date as outcomes repriced together.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 09:36 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price is above $80,000 at a specific minute on November 15, 2026. Resolution depends strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance rather than broader market averages or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 15, 2026, has a final Close price higher than $80,000. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision defined by the decimal places displayed on the source. Other exchanges and trading pairs are disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·