Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$157K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market depends on identifying whether the two leaders have an in-person encounter where they interact. While the deadline of December 31, 2026, is precise, resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting rather than a designated official registry or diplomatic body. What constitutes an interaction—such as a brief handshake at a multilateral summit versus formal bilateral talks—relies on decider interpretation of news coverage.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- High
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market tracks whether the next in-person meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin occurs in Kazakhstan before 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the next in-person encounter where Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin are both present and interact with each other takes place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves No if their next meeting occurs in a different location, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (resolving to 'No meeting before 2027'). Meetings held on Ukrainian territory under de facto Russian control are considered part of Russia. A consensus of credible reporting decides the outcome.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Meeting must occur by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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