Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of the June 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official winner of the June 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors are explicitly excluded from qualifying. The primary determination relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with a clear fallback to official results from Mexican and state electoral authorities (such as INE and the Electoral Institute of Michoacán) if any ambiguity exists. A long resolution window extending to December 31, 2027, accommodates typical certification timelines, with a timeout resolving to Other if definitive results remain unconfirmed by that date.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Gladyz Butanda Macías will win the 2027 gubernatorial election in Michoacán. It explicitly excludes interim or caretaker governors and includes a fallback outcome if results remain uncertain by year-end.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Gladyz Butanda Macías wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official government sources from Michoacán and Mexico (such as the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·