Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution rules clearly match the core question, focusing strictly on the winner of the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
The resolution rules clearly match the core question, focusing strictly on the winner of the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors are explicitly excluded from qualifying. While initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, clear fallback authority is assigned to official election bodies including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and Mexico's National Electoral Institute. There is also a generous timeline extending through December 31, 2027, before triggering a fallback resolution to Other if official results remain unresolved.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Raúl Morón Orozco will win the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. It excludes interim or caretaker governors and defaults to "Other" if results remain unknown by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Raúl Morón Orozco wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official government sources from Michoacán and Mexico (such as the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with official results from government sources of Michoacán and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) used if there is ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·