Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria clearly specify that the named candidate must win the scheduled 2027 gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria clearly specify that the named candidate must win the scheduled 2027 gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments. The market relies on a consensus of credible reporting with a clear fallback to official election authorities including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute. There is a generous resolution window through December 31, 2027, well after the June election, with a clear fallback clause resolving to Other if final outcomes remain unresolved by the deadline.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Fabiola Alanís Sámano will win the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. It excludes interim or caretaker governors and includes an explicit fallback if results are not definitively known by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Fabiola Alanís Sámano wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or, in the event of ambiguity, solely by official results from government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with ambiguity resolved solely by official results from Michoacán and Mexican government sources, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·