Will Guillermo Romero Rodríguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria clearly define the outcome around winning the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election and specifically exclude interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria clearly define the outcome around winning the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election and specifically exclude interim or caretaker appointments. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official election authorities (such as the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and Mexico's INE) if there is any dispute or ambiguity. The rules also provide a generous buffer until December 31, 2027, to account for potential legal challenges or extended vote certification before triggering an unresolved outcome.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Guillermo Romero Rodríguez wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker appointments do not qualify.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Guillermo Romero Rodríguez wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa, the National Electoral Institute of Mexico, and other government sources if there is ambiguity.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·