Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward, centering on the winner of the scheduled 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election and explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward, centering on the winner of the scheduled 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election and explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments. While initial determination relies on a consensus of credible reporting, the rules provide clear fallback to official results from Mexican and Sinaloa electoral authorities, including the state electoral institute and the National Electoral Institute. A multi-month buffer between the June election and the late December cutoff date provides ample time for certifications and legal challenges to conclude.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Graciela Domínguez Nava will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election scheduled for June 6, 2027. It features a specific resolution fallback to "Other" if the outcome remains definitively unknown by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Graciela Domínguez Nava wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to "Other" if the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. In cases of ambiguity, resolution relies solely on official results from government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·