Will Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market centers on a clear, standard political event: whether the named candidate wins the scheduled 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
The market centers on a clear, standard political event: whether the named candidate wins the scheduled 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker appointments are explicitly excluded. Resolution relies initially on a consensus of credible media reporting, but the rules provide a direct fallback to official government and electoral authorities, specifically the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and Mexico's National Electoral Institute, if any ambiguity arises. A generous deadline extending to the end of 2027 provides several months after the June election for certification or legal disputes to conclude, resolving to an alternate outcome only if results remain definitively unknown by that point.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
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Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Resolution excludes any interim or caretaker Governor appointments.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding source is a consensus of credible reporting, or in cases of ambiguity, official government results from Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results from Sinaloa and Mexican government sources including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·