Will Roxana Rubio Valdez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on whether the specified candidate wins the 2027 gubernatorial election in Sinaloa.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on whether the specified candidate wins the 2027 gubernatorial election in Sinaloa. The rules explicitly exclude interim or caretaker appointments. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an official fallback to election authorities including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa (IEES) and the National Electoral Institute (INE). A long resolution window extending through December 31, 2027, leaves ample time for official vote certification and potential legal disputes following the June election.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Roxana Rubio Valdez will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. It features a specific deadline after which unresolved results trigger a fallback resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Roxana Rubio Valdez wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify for a winning outcome. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official government results from the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, with official results from Sinaloa and Mexican government sources (including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) as a fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·