Will Eduardo Ortiz Hernández win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election scheduled for June 6, 2027.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election scheduled for June 6, 2027. Resolution initially relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official results from Mexican electoral authorities (the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and INE) if any ambiguity arises. Interim or caretaker governors are expressly excluded. A long resolution window extending through December 31, 2027 provides ample time for recounts, legal challenges, or official certifications to conclude before any default timeout triggers.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Eduardo Ortiz Hernández will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify, and the market includes a fallback resolution if results remain unknown by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Eduardo Ortiz Hernández wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided based on the election results indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity exists, resolution relies solely on official results from government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallbacks to official results from the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·