Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly defines the winning condition as the official winner of the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly defines the winning condition as the official winner of the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments. Resolution relies initially on a consensus of credible reporting, with a clear fallback to official election authorities (the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and Mexico's National Electoral Institute) in case of dispute or ambiguity. The resolution deadline of December 31, 2027 provides nearly seven months past the scheduled June election date to account for recounts or legal challenges, resolving to 'Other' if an outcome remains uncertified by that point.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Paloma Sánchez Ramos wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. It excludes any interim or caretaker Governor appointments.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Paloma Sánchez Ramos wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the government of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico, if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·