Will Jesús Fernando García Hernández win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of the June 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official winner of the June 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Resolution relies primarily on a consensus of credible reporting, with a clear fallback to official results from Mexican and Sinaloan electoral authorities if reporting is contested. Interim or caretaker governors are explicitly excluded, and a generous deadline extending to the end of 2027 provides sufficient time for any recount or legal certification process to conclude.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jesús Fernando García Hernández will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify for resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jesús Fernando García Hernández wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, resolution relies solely on official results from Sinaloa and Mexican government sources, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·