Will Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market straightforwardly resolves based on the winning candidate of the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
The market straightforwardly resolves based on the winning candidate of the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors. Resolution relies primarily on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official results from the Sinaloa Electoral Institute and the National Electoral Institute in the event of ambiguity. The December 31, 2027 longstop deadline provides ample buffer beyond the scheduled June 2027 election date for certification and legal challenges, though holders should note that unresolved outcomes at the deadline default to Other.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. It resolves to a fallback outcome if results are not definitively known by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election, excluding any interim or caretaker Governor appointments. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely on official results from government sources such as the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico if ambiguity exists.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·