Will Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly defines the winning condition around the scheduled June 2027 election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly defines the winning condition around the scheduled June 2027 election, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors. Resolution relies initially on a consensus of credible reporting, but provides a concrete fallback to official Mexican and Sinaloa electoral bodies (INE and the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa) if any ambiguity arises. A generous resolution deadline of December 31, 2027, accommodates potential recounts, legal challenges, or certification delays.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify, and the market resolves to "Other" if results remain unknown by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to "Other" if the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from Sinaloa and Mexican government sources, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico, if ambiguity exists.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallbacks to official results from the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·