Will Lucila Ayala de Moreschi win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly identifies the election, the specific candidate, and the scope of the race, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly identifies the election, the specific candidate, and the scope of the race, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker governors. Resolution primary relies on a consensus of reporting with a definitive fallback to official election bodies in Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute. There is a generous timeline extending through the end of 2027 to accommodate official certifications and challenges, with an explicit timeout mechanism resolving to Other if definitive results remain unavailable.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market tracks whether Lucila Ayala de Moreschi wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election scheduled for June 6, 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Lucila Ayala de Moreschi wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election, excluding any interim or caretaker Governor appointments. It resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the definitive election results are not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided based on a consensus of credible reporting, or solely based on official results from government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico (including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico) if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallbacks to official government sources including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·