Will Ricardo Madrid Pérez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly targets the winner of the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election and explicitly excludes interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly targets the winner of the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election and explicitly excludes interim or caretaker appointments. Resolution relies initially on a consensus of credible reporting, but designates the National Electoral Institute and the state electoral authority of Sinaloa as the binding fallback sources if there is ambiguity. The resolution window extends through December 31, 2027, providing ample time for vote counting, official certification, and potential legal challenges to resolve after the scheduled June election. While the rules include template language specifying a resolution to "Other" if no definitive result emerges before the cutoff date, the criteria for determining the victor through official election authorities are clearly defined.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ricardo Madrid Pérez will win the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify, and the market includes a fallback resolution if results remain unknown by the end of 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Ricardo Madrid Pérez wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify. The market resolves No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official government sources from Sinaloa and Mexico—including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico—if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from Sinaloa and Mexico government sources, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·