Will Switzerland win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
1.85¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.85%
$3.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament according to UEFA. The rules specify early resolution to No if Switzerland is eliminated from contention prior to the final. A specific longstop deadline of July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET handles cancellations or indefinite postponements by resolving to Other. The outcome relies directly on official UEFA tournament records, leaving minimal ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Switzerland will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Switzerland wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Switzerland to win according to UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Tournament conclusion cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared or if the tournament is postponed beyond this time.
Resolution source
UEFA
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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