Will Andorra win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
2.3¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.3%
$3.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The outcome is clearly defined by official tournament results from UEFA. Participants should be aware of two specific mechanics: first, the market can resolve early to No as soon as a nation is mathematically eliminated or unable to win under UEFA rules, rather than waiting until the conclusion of the 2028 tournament. Second, if the tournament is cancelled or postponed past July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET without a winner, the market resolves to Other. Official UEFA data serves as the primary decider, with credible reporting available only as a fallback.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Andorra will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It features an early resolution provision if Andorra is eliminated from contention prior to the final.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Andorra wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Andorra to win according to UEFA rules at any point, such as being eliminated in the playoffs or qualifiers. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary deciding source, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — The market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
UEFA
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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