Will Slovakia win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$1.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define how the tournament outcome is evaluated, designating UEFA official information as the primary source. The rules permit early resolution to 'No' as soon as it is mathematically or structurally impossible for Slovakia to win, such as elimination during qualifying or tournament play. A firm cutoff date of July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET is established in case of cancellation or postponement, which would result in an 'Other' resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Slovakia will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It features an early resolution trigger if Slovakia is eliminated before the final, and resolves to an alternative outcome if the tournament is postponed past a specific July 2028 deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Slovakia wins the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Slovakia to win according to UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from UEFA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Tournament conclusion cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if postponed after 11:59 PM ET on this date or if no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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