Will Scotland win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$2.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves cleanly based on official UEFA tournament outcomes. Participants should note the early resolution provision, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as Scotland is mathematically eliminated from contention during qualifying, playoffs, or the tournament itself. In the event of cancellation or postponement past July 23, 2028, the rules specify resolution to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Scotland will win the UEFA EURO 2028 football championship. A notable feature is that the market can resolve to Other if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond a specified cutoff date.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Scotland wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Scotland to win per UEFA rules, such as through elimination in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Tournament resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past this time, or has no declared winner by then.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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