Will Republic of Ireland win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$2.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market resolves straightforwardly based on the official winner of UEFA EURO 2028 as determined by UEFA. Participants should be aware of the early resolution clause, which resolves the market to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated or unable to win under tournament rules. In the event the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond July 23, 2028, or concludes without a declared winner, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Republic of Ireland wins the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Republic of Ireland wins the UEFA EURO 2028. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Republic of Ireland to win the tournament per UEFA rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Resolution will be decided primarily using official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past this time, or has no winner declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.